← Regional - Knight & Day Games (Las Vegas, NV)
Wind Crux MageTier 1
at Regional - Knight & Day Games (Las Vegas, NV)
decks
2
(4.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
6-4-2
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.3%
avg ELO -2.0 per match
expected value
53.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1368
· median 1368
· range 1328–1408
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
994
Q1 1218
Q3 1502
1736
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Slimes | 17.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.2 |
| Fire Exia | 12.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.9% | -8.1 |
| Slimes | 9.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.0% | -17.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.3% | +7.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
| Wind Allies | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Razorgale | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.6% | -5.5 |
| Water Allies | 2.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.7% | -5.3 |
| Water Arisanna | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.4% | +8.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -12.9 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.6% | -19.8 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
